Tight Poker

[biggle10]

Now, Caff, I would say that TJ had a lot of outs on that flop, do you think his flop raise was bad? I thought I'd play it the same. Can you elaborate on why you thought he played incorrectly?

The pot is opened early for a limp, and raised by me (which is is big mistake). That means a pair of tens is unlikely to be the best hand. With that many players in the pot he won't be able to cut off a flush draw or better straight draw with his raise either.

He does have a lot of outs, he's about 33% to win among the known hands. However, all of his outs are to hands that would've won the entire pot anyway. Given that he likely needs to improve on his hand to win, and any improvement is likely to be a monster there's no reason to raise and isolate himself against a better hand. (Contrary to other situations, where you need to improve to win but your improvement isn't going to be a big winner.)

Raising JT here is what I would do in the hopes of getting things like 7's and 9's to fold. Besides against an unknown, top pair may be the best hand.