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Weakt-tight or Playing Smart
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Weakt-tight or Playing Smart
by Linuxrocks » Thu Feb 02, 2006 10:36 pm
It took me only 2 nano-seconds to fold this, but I want to see what you guys think. No specific reads.
1. Fold (no FE, dominated or coin-flip)
2. Raise all-in (JJ is the nuts, don't you know that?)
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t150 (5 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx
MP (t1025)
Button (t2225)
linuxrocks (t2400)
BB (t585)
UTG (t1765)
Preflop: linuxrocks is SB with Jh, Jd.
2 folds, Button raises to t1000, 2 folds.
Final Pot: t1225
1. Fold (no FE, dominated or coin-flip)
2. Raise all-in (JJ is the nuts, don't you know that?)
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t150 (5 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx
MP (t1025)
Button (t2225)
linuxrocks (t2400)
BB (t585)
UTG (t1765)
Preflop: linuxrocks is SB with Jh, Jd.
2 folds, Button raises to t1000, 2 folds.
Final Pot: t1225
- Linuxrocks
by bobcorn » Thu Feb 02, 2006 11:25 pm
People do this with small pocket pairs all the time. Any reads on Button? Btw, looking at the stack sizes you do have FE, just not a lot. You are the 2 biggest stacks so you don't want to tangle with him. If he's really tight, I fold here. Otherwise I push. I would fold TT almost always though.
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by Linuxrocks » Fri Feb 03, 2006 12:53 am
It doesn't matter what he has. I am folding here everything other than QQ, KK and AA, because I have enough chips to finish in ITM, and go for first, and there is no need to tangle with that maniacal biggie. It's an easy push if it is a shortie, of course.
P.S. I finished second, and the maniac finished OOTM
P.S. I finished second, and the maniac finished OOTM
- Linuxrocks
by bobcorn » Fri Feb 03, 2006 1:24 am
ppadala wrote:It doesn't matter what he has. I am folding here everything other than QQ, KK and AA, because I have enough chips to finish in ITM, and go for first, and there is no need to tangle with that maniacal biggie. It's an easy push if it is a shortie, of course.
Huh? Of course it matters what he has! If he's a maniac, you absolutely have to push here. You aren't that far ahead of the two other big stacks and it isn't the bubble yet. Also, his overbet is almost never QQ-AA.
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by Linuxrocks » Fri Feb 03, 2006 1:53 am
bobcorn wrote:ppadala wrote:It doesn't matter what he has. I am folding here everything other than QQ, KK and AA, because I have enough chips to finish in ITM, and go for first, and there is no need to tangle with that maniacal biggie. It's an easy push if it is a shortie, of course.
Huh? Of course it matters what he has! If he's a maniac, you absolutely have to push here. You aren't that far ahead of the two other big stacks and it isn't the bubble yet. Also, his overbet is almost never QQ-AA.
Ok, let's take this piece by piece. Say he has AQ, you go to war with him and win 50% of the time and maybe finish in ITM all the time. On the other hand, you fold, Is your ITM % greater than 50%? I would say yes, and I probably make it 90% of the time easily.
Now, there's a catch. If you win however, you have monster chip lead, and may place you high once you are ITM. Is that a good bargain or not depends on how high you place if you have average chips (say 2500) compared to a truck load of chips (say 5000) once you are ITM.
In other words, the chips you gain are not that valuable for you to take the risk.
- Linuxrocks
by bobcorn » Fri Feb 03, 2006 2:09 am
Ok, I ran this through SNGPT as if Button actually pushed. If he has a range of 22+,A2s+,A3o+,KTs+,KJo+,QJs it's a push. If has a range of 44+,A7s+,A9o+,KJs+ its a fold. I'd have to say that his range is probably looser when he raises than when he pushes. Also you might have some FE (if he doesn't understand pot odds). How big of a maniac was he? Can you put him on a range?
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by bobcorn » Fri Feb 03, 2006 2:46 am
ppadala wrote:I thought he had a much tighter range (77+,AJs+,AJo+). Yes, he is a maniac, but that doesn't mean he will have KJo here.
The maniacs I run into will raise any 2 on the button. If he has a range of 77+,AJs+,AJo+, then I would fold JJ too.
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by Linuxrocks » Fri Feb 03, 2006 2:46 am
bobcorn wrote:ppadala wrote:I thought he had a much tighter range (77+,AJs+,AJo+). Yes, he is a maniac, but that doesn't mean he will have KJo here.
The maniacs I run into will raise any 2 on the button. If he has a range of 77+,AJs+,AJo+, then I would fold JJ too.
Any two maniacs might exist, but even they know that they shouldn't be raising 1000 chips here.
- Linuxrocks
by mervhage » Fri Feb 03, 2006 9:39 am
You're only approaching this situation as if he has two overs, he could very well have something extremely weak.
Most of us agree that playing for first is better than sliding in the money. Once you take his ass out on this one, you'll destroy the remainder of the table with ease.
Most of us agree that playing for first is better than sliding in the money. Once you take his ass out on this one, you'll destroy the remainder of the table with ease.
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