Tight Poker

by **levistep** » Fri Sep 29, 2006 10:54 pm

GAME #1741159547 - (BLINDS $0.50/$1) NO LIMIT TEXAS HOLD'EM - 2006/09/29-20:35:29.2 (CST)
Table "Opah (5 max)" (real money) -- Seat 1 is the button
Seat 1: larrylaydown ($94.66 in chips)
Seat 2: 88cowboy88 ($130.46 in chips)
Seat 3: venus503 ($74.30 in chips)
Seat 4: nietzsche ($38.20 in chips)
Seat 5: henry4allofu ($85.23 in chips)
88cowboy88: Post Small Blind ($0.50)
venus503: Post Big Blind ($1)
Dealing...
Dealt to larrylaydown [ Ks ]
Dealt to larrylaydown [ Qd ]
nietzsche: Fold
henry4allofu: Fold
larrylaydown: Raise ($4)
88cowboy88: Call ($3.50)
venus503: Timed out
venus503: Fold
*** FLOP *** : [ Kc 3s Qs ]
88cowboy88: Bet ($4.50)
larrylaydown: Raise ($12)
88cowboy88: Call ($7.50)
*** TURN *** : [ Kc 3s Qs ] [ 4c ]
88cowboy88: Check
larrylaydown: Bet ($25)
88cowboy88: Call ($25)
*** RIVER *** : [ Kc 3s Qs 4c ] [ 2c ]
henry4allofu said, "larry u saw tha hand right??"
henry4allofu said, "haha"
larrylaydown said, "yup"
88cowboy88: Check
...................................

by **poormanbilly** » Fri Sep 29, 2006 11:12 pm

Flush drawers don't pay much off here.

by **levistep** » Fri Sep 29, 2006 11:34 pm

Btw, villan's stats are 48% vp$ip, 15% PFR, 30% went to showdown, .75PFA.

by **sfustsh** » Sat Sep 30, 2006 12:29 am

Is this a push or check situation?

I don't know but I think you have the best hand. However it's not neccesary to bet here. You don't beat any hands your opponent would call a bet with. If you bet representing flush you will only be called by a flush or straight. You don't beat either of those. There is also an off chance you could be up against a set.

Personally I feel your opponent's play is consistent with a (poorly played) OESD.

If I had to guess I'd put him on an OESD JT. I check it down for the win because bets will only be -EV here. You can't win any extra bets from him unless you have a read that he will call regardless. If this is the case I suck bet instead of push. I don't want to bust with 2 pair on a flush board.

by **bigdil511** » Sat Sep 30, 2006 10:11 am

If you think he will not fold TP than bet, I really don't see much value here though because it looks like he has a weak hand and will drop it on the river. I probably check behind.

by **easy_as_pie** » Sat Sep 30, 2006 12:32 pm

easy AI

what are you afraid of, especially with his stats?

by **cavman** » Sat Sep 30, 2006 1:16 pm

i would certainly bet this river. probably about $50 or so. a push seems unlikely to be called

by **goofyballer** » Sat Sep 30, 2006 3:46 pm

There's $44 left in stacks and about $82 in the pot, just shove. He pays off with Kx.

by **kedoran** » Sat Sep 30, 2006 4:22 pm

yes you have to push it in, people call with alot of crap

by **levistep** » Sat Sep 30, 2006 11:38 pm

Yeah, especially considering his stats, I decided to push. Turns out he had QTc and hit the runner runner. The fact that he would call that flop reraise just confirms that he is a maniac. He most likely would have called down with kj or kt or some shit like that.

by **bram** » Sun Oct 01, 2006 9:23 pm

pushhhhh

by **neverthink** » Sun Oct 01, 2006 10:32 pm

Yes push. He is consistent with a dominated King here most of the time and will pay off. KTo is my bet. A5spades is quite sick, but I doubt it.

by **nlman** » Mon Oct 02, 2006 12:10 pm

All in (most likely) OR a "weak" bet that will give him FE to bluff you off the hand (but only if he likes reraising the river).

The only thing that he could realistically bet like this with is 33. The chance of him having it is what? 1/220?

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