25+2.5: Getting kinda short with 99

[mirage]

I was really conflicted as far as what to do here - how do you guys play it?


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

UTG+1 (t8508)
MP1 (t3845)
MP2 (t3727)
MP3 (t3645)
CO (t4496)
Hero (t3585)
SB (t9475)
BB (t2675)
UTG (t608)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 9, 9.
UTG raises to t608, UTG+1 calls t608, 3 folds, CO calls t608, ???????

[ugignadl]

Fold.

[mewsiclovr]

call, flop a set, profit.

[ugignadl]

call, flop a set, profit.

Joke right? He needs way better odds to do that than he is getting.

[mewsiclovr]

Pot is about 300 + 608+608+608 = 2124

Needs to call 608 so that's about 3.5:1. He needs 7.5 if we're calling for set value so he needs to get another 2400 in the pot when he makes his set to make it profitable.

Plus I imagine we're not completely giving up on an all unders flop and may take it down with a standard probe bet, so we don't need to make up near as much in odds. It's close true but I think it's worth it.

[mirage]

I hated to fold this. I also hated to call or push. So I erred on the side of caution and folded.

One guy had KQ and the other A5s and my hand would have held, not that it matters in the slightest. I think I could argue for either course of action there but the thought of running into slow played AA or what have you was enough to keep me from gambooling.