Tight Poker

[mirage]

But I have a lot of equity so WTF now?


Poker Stars
No Limit Hold'em Cash Game
$0.50/$1 Blinds
6 Players
LegoPoker HH Converter

SB: $94.80
BB: $99.15
UTG: $173.05
MP: $100
CO: $130.80
Hero (BTN): $99

Preflop: Hero is dealt A T (6 Players)
3 folds, Hero raises to $4, SB calls $3.50, BB folds

Flop: ($9) 5 3 J (2 Players)
SB bets $33, Hero tanks

[neverthink]

You have no idea what equity you have. If you're up against a set then you don't really have much at all. Very easy fold to an unknown, I have no idea what he does this with, but I think he is prepared to call you all in,. and you clearly can't call, so fold until you have a read.

[ugignadl]

Ugly, but you must fold.

[mirage]

I think he's got a set or overpair -- or something weaker and the 33 is an actual mistake and he meant to bet 3 or something. Of course I realize immediately that this is probably a fake misclick, so then the hard part is with what, and why? How often is this bet actually a mistake? All these questions churned in my mind as my time clock ran down.

So, I pushed. In retrospect that was really dumb, that's why I wound up posting the hand. He snap-called. He had QQ which was just about best case scenario, and even then I was a slight dog. His angle shoot was successful, can't believe I let myself fall for it.


Flop: ($9) 5 3 J (2 Players)
SB bets $33, Hero raises all-in to $95, SB calls all-in for $57.80
Uncalled bet of $4.20 returned to Hero

Turn: ($190.60) 7 (2 Players - 2 All-In)

River: ($190.60) K (2 Players - 2 All-In)

Pot Size: $190.60 ($3 Rake)

SB had Q Q (a pair of Queens)
Hero had A T


Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

990 games 0.031 secs 31,935 games/sec

Board: Jd 5d 3h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 44.141% 44.14% 00.00% 437 0.00 { AdTd }
Hand 1: 55.859% 55.86% 00.00% 553 0.00 { QdQh }

[ugignadl]

Yeah, just about the best you can hope for, since your A outs are good.

Ah well.